Please see preview of 1st 2 Quarter finals I shall add the 2nd 2 matches later this week
Pete backed Portugal pre tournament and I will keep my bet in place during this match.
Edo’s bet of Germany to win the tournament is also looking fairly solid at the moment.
Thursday 21st June
Czech Republic v Portugal Kick off 19:45 BST
These 2 sides met in the group stages in the competition 4 years ago with Portugal coming out on top 3-1.
A similar result could be expected here but we both agreed that Portugal make no real appeal priced at 1.83
Dutching Portugal to win by 1 or 2 goals pays 2.13 and looks worthy of consideration.
Despite the general feeling that these knockout games are low scoring affairs there have been 3 or more goals in 8 of the Czech Republic’s last 13 Internationals and in 8 of Portugal’s last 12. So Over 2.25 goals look reasonable but we would like to see a price of 2.00 or more being offered before we would want to become involved.
Another viable option is Czech Republic team total over 0.75 which is currently being offered by Pinnacle @ 2.08.
Friday 21st June
Germany v Greece Kick off 19:45 BST
Germany are looking a strong unit in this tournament but are no value here at 1.37
Since the 2010 World Cup Greece have only lost twice in 20 matches so could be a tough nut to crack here.
Germany’s Asian handicap opened at -1.25, which we can understand; but the fact that the price was set at 1.87 would suggest that those odds should drift at some point towards the 2.00 mark.
Dutching the Germany win by 1 or 2 goals pays 2.06 and looks very worthy of consideration.
The total goals market opened under 2.75 @ 1.95 and has come in as low as 1.78. We totally agree with this early move especially for the trading potential the under odds have in this particular match.
Saturday 23rd June
Spain v France Kick off 19:45 BST
The line look pretty neutral in this match however there is just a hint of value in backing Spain to win this game @ 1.89 if you can get this price.
France suffered their 1st defeat in 25 matches when going down 0-2 to Sweden on Tuesday evening whilst Spain was certainly made to work for qualification against Croatia.
Neither of these 2 sides has looked convincing so far and a tight match is certain. Although Over 2 goals looks a fair price @1.92
Sunday 24th June
England v Italy Kick off 19:45 BST
If ever there was a game that was destined to go to extra time and penalties then this is the one.
Historically there is nothing between the two countries and that is represented in the prices on offer.
If anything there is value in siding with England +0 goals @1.94 and Over 2 goals @2.11 also looks a fair price but to be honest we are neutral on this match.
The Half Time / Full Time result of Draw/Draw could be interesting to small stakes and that can be backed at 4.75
