Semi Finals
Well we enjoyed a fairly successful Quarter finals with all 4 games going fairly close to the script.
These 2 semi finals are going to be very tight affairs and it would not surprise us if both of these games went the full distance.
Pete has now traded out of the Portugal to win the tournament bet/trade and Edo still has a couple of large plays on Germany to win the tournament and to progress further than Spain.
It will be very interesting to see if Italy can continue their historical dominance over their German rivals or will this trend be broken as in the quarter finals when Spain defeated France for the 1st time in a competitive match.
In truth both of these games offer no real value although there is some small value in backing Overs.
Wednesday 27th June
Spain v Portugal Kick off 19:45 BST
This was a very tight fixture when the 2 countries met in the knockout stages of the last world cup finals with Spain coning out on top 1-0.
However since that match, Portugal has beaten their near rivals 4-0 in a friendly last November.
The asian handicap Market is priced about right and if you fancy either side we would look to get involved at the following prices
Spain -0.5 @ 2.06+ or Portugal +0.75 1.952+.
Over 2 @ 2.02+ / under 2 @ 2.32+,
correct score 1-1 @ 7.36+.
As for In Play it may be worth waiting until the action starts and if it is an open game Over 1.5 would certainly be worth trading after 15 minutes.
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Thursday 28th June
Germany v Italy Kick off 19:45 BST
This game is priced about right in what is a very close game to call and historically the Italians have had the better of the Germans and the Germans have lost some very high profile matches to the Italians including a World Cup final and 2 world Cup Semi Finals.
Obviously this was some time ago but once Italy get into the knockout stages of any major tournament they have to be respected.
We believe the Asian markets are spot on for this game and our entry prices would be as below
As with the Spain game we feel the Overs offers a small piece of value
Germany -0.5 @ 2.14+ / Italy +0.5 @ 2.18+.
Over 2.25 @ 2.17+ / under 2.25 @ 2.15+.
