Well it has been a busy few weeks since my last post with the
start of the Football season and my involvement with Premier Betting.
We have had a reasonable start to the season on Premier Betting and are
just shy of 3 points in profit. I always feel that this is certainly the
toughest time of season for betting on the Premier League and I always advise
extreme caution as in my opinion the current season form does not start really revealing
its self until after the October International break.
I’m also pleased with the way the software BetformPro is performing and the positive
feedback we have received from the users. We devised this tool early last
season and since January it has played a major part in our decision making
process as you really get a feeling for
how the game may pan out and where the value lies. Betformpro appeals to the
more sophisticated punter or to stats geeks who really like to dig into the
stats on the various fringe markets.
As far as my ratings are concerned then I have still kept a watching
brief on the baseball and the system I have in place since I stopped betting
has shown a 23 point profit so the system has shown over 40 points profit this
season. This has given me great confidence going forward. Last year at this
time with various sides displaying the end of season feeling and using the old
system we had a disastrous run however the current system seems to have thrived
during this period. It has obviously been frustrating to be out of the market but I had to give the new system a full and proper test before giving it the go ahead.
I am really hoping that the NHL lockout does not come to fruition as the
ratings had a very successful season last year. This season I will be using the
same system as last year but will be looking to make further improvements. The
same can be said for the NBA.
I am also looking at the ATP Tennis but feel that much more work needs
to be done before I can progress with some confidence.
Due to the success of my ratings I am going to put a cap on the number
of people who can subscribe to my newsletter as I do not want to kill the goose
that laid the golden egg. An awful lot of effort goes into devising these
systems and the last thing I want is to possibly lose any edge we may have.
Since I started experimenting and using ratings for US Sports 2 years
ago I have had to undergo a complete mindset change. Before I started using the
Betting exchanges I was never really a punter and although I have no problem
placing a few thousand pounds into a pre match football market to risk £100 on
a trade the placing of over £100 on a straight bet was completely alien to me.
Ultimately this is an area I am moving into more and the US Sports seem
to suit this ratings system.
I think the problem with trading that many newcomers have is that they
are always looking for the perfect system or the ‘Holy Grail’ and it simply
does not exist and so people try to complicate things and occasionally this can
get frustrating.
I am often asked if the tennis strategy in my book is still profitable.
Well it is but in my opinion it is an awful lot of work sitting in front of a
computer ensuring that all the parameters are met before even being able to put
on the trade and this in itself can prove very frustrating. Whereas with a
simple ratings system all you are doing is following the system and backing the
selection and then waking up to see if you are in profit or not. However
obviously to make it worthwhile you have to place a reasonable amount on the
selection.
Also I have continued my Italian strategy in the newsletter and the first
two weeks have proved profitable showing +2.42 points. Here in this system essentially
I am using a rating system to oppose the draw and back the home side. The last
2 seasons have seen some decent profits but thanks to the input of one of my
members I am hoping this will significantly improve this season. I like betting
on the Serie A because the results are fairly consistent particularly involving
the mid to lower table sides but obviously you have to be wary comer April
where some strange prices are seen concerning the draw.
